Projected Final Table — Expected Points per Team

Projected champion

AEK Athens FC

56.7 pts (10–90%: 50–63)

Projected relegation

Levadiakos FC · Volos NFC

Bottom two of the table

Projected Final Regular Season Table

Positions 1–4 reach the Championship Playoff, 5–8 the Europe Playoff and 9–14 the Relegation Playout. “Proj. Pts” is the mean points total after all 26 matchdays; “10–90%” is the band the middle 80% of simulated seasons land in — the extreme best/worst outcomes are in the cell tooltip.

#	Team	Now	Pld	Pts	Proj. Pts	10–90%
1	AEK Athens FC	2	6	14	56.7	50–63
2	Panathinaikos FC	1	6	15	53.5	46–60
3	Olympiacos FC	3	6	13	51.7	44–59
4	PAOK FC	4	6	12	51.0	44–58
5	Aris Thessaloniki FC	5	6	10	37.1	30–45
6	Iraklis FC	7	6	9	33.4	25–42
7	OFI Crete FC	6	6	10	32.9	25–41
8	Kalamata FC	10	6	7	30.5	21–41
9	Kifisia FC	9	6	8	28.6	22–36
10	Panetolikos FC	8	6	9	28.1	21–35
11	Atromitos FC	12	6	2	26.4	19–34
12	Asteras Tripolis FC	11	6	5	25.6	19–33
13	Levadiakos FC	14	6	1	24.0	16–32
14	Volos NFC	13	6	2	19.9	13–27

Championship Playoff Europe Playoff Relegation Playout

How to read this table. Every remaining fixture is played out thousands of times with the Dixon-Coles / Elo ensemble, and the points each team collects are averaged over all simulated seasons. “Proj. Pts” is that average, while “10–90%” is the range the middle 80% of simulated seasons land in — much more informative than the extreme best/worst outcomes (in the tooltip), which grow with the number of simulations run. Projections are refreshed with each weekly simulation run — treat them as probabilities, not guarantees.

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