Projected Final Table
Expected end-of-season points per team from Monte Carlo season simulations • Season 2026/2027 • Updated: 2026-09-11 12:59:53
Projected Final Regular Season Table
Positions 1–4 reach the Championship Playoff, 5–8 the Europe Playoff and 9–14 the Relegation Playout. “Proj. Pts” is the mean points total after all 26 matchdays; “10–90%” is the band the middle 80% of simulated seasons land in — the extreme best/worst outcomes are in the cell tooltip.
| # | Team | Now | Pld | Pts | Proj. Pts | 10–90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC |
3 | 3 | 7 | 57.9 | 50–65 |
| 2 |  Olympiacos FC |
4 | 3 | 7 | 53.7 | 46–61 |
| 3 |  PAOK FC |
6 | 3 | 6 | 53.5 | 46–61 |
| 4 |  Panathinaikos FC |
1 | 3 | 9 | 52.4 | 45–60 |
| 5 |  Aris Thessaloniki FC |
5 | 3 | 6 | 38.3 | 30–47 |
| 6 |  Panetolikos FC |
2 | 3 | 9 | 32.0 | 24–40 |
| 7 |  OFI Crete FC |
7 | 3 | 6 | 31.4 | 24–39 |
| 8 |  Atromitos FC |
10 | 3 | 1 | 31.5 | 23–40 |
| 9 |  Iraklis FC |
8 | 3 | 4 | 30.1 | 20–41 |
| 10 |  Levadiakos FC |
14 | 3 | 0 | 29.0 | 21–37 |
| 11 |  Kifisia FC |
12 | 3 | 1 | 23.9 | 16–32 |
| 12 |  Kalamata FC |
11 | 3 | 1 | 23.5 | 15–32 |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis FC |
13 | 3 | 0 | 22.1 | 15–30 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC |
9 | 3 | 2 | 20.8 | 14–28 |
How to read this table. Every remaining fixture is played out thousands of times with the Dixon-Coles / Elo ensemble, and the points each team collects are averaged over all simulated seasons. “Proj. Pts” is that average, while “10–90%” is the range the middle 80% of simulated seasons land in — much more informative than the extreme best/worst outcomes (in the tooltip), which grow with the number of simulations run. Projections are refreshed with each weekly simulation run — treat them as probabilities, not guarantees.
More views: season probabilities (title, top-4, Europe, relegation) · trajectory · matchday impact · methodology articles